The 2008 Hurricane Season Forecast is out!
2000 UTC, May 14th 2008 Tropical Weather Analysis
The East Pacific hurricane season begins tomorrow May 15th. Conditions appear mildly favorable for development there in coming weeks, with low shear and warm sea surface temperatures already prevalent. Even now there are scattered convective disturbances across the eastern East Pacific, south of Mexico and Central America. Since my focus is on the Atlantic, I won't be updating that much on the East Pacific. However, if something interesting happens there or a tropical cyclone threatens Mexico or Central America, I'll update on it. Meanwhile, the Atlantic is quiet, and we are about a half month away from the start of the Atlantic season on June 1st. Sea surface temperatures are warming across the basin, and actually quite rapidly since it has been clear across most areas, allowing maximum energy absorption from the sun each day. Once shear begins to drop off in June, as it should climatologically, it appears we'll be busy! ---Hurricane season officially starts in the North Atlantic June 1st, and the Hurricane Warning 2008 hurricane season forecast has been released. A link to it can be found just under the banner on the front page. Also, sign up for Hurricane Warning Hurricane E-Mail, which is now free, and updates like this will be sent to your E-Mail whenever they are made.
Current satellite imagery of the Western Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico,
and the Carribbean (click to enlarge):
